174,767 Applications to the UC’s -- a Record High

Today the University of California’s Office of the President released its Preliminary Data on Undergraduate Applications. Applications to the nine University of California campuses posted an all time high: 174,767. (This includes freshman and transfer applications.) Last year, the UC’s received 160,939 applications.

Every category of applications increased: freshman, transfer, in-state, out-of-state, and international. For the first time, Chicano/Latino students were the largest ethnic group represented in the UC’s applicant pool.

Freshman applications for every campus increased, from 16.9% at Santa Cruz to 9.7% at Berkeley. University-wide freshman applications (the number of students who apply, regardless of how many applications they submit), grew from 126,299 last year to 139,758, a 10.7% increase. Among the entire pool of applicants to the UC’s, 64% were admitted last year; I project 57% will be admitted this year.

Assuming that Proposition 30 enables the nine UC campuses to maintain last year’s freshman enrollments but not increase admissions, 2012’s increases in applications means a decrease in admission rates. My projections of admission rates for the fall of 2013 by campus are:

 

Berkeley

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  21%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  19%  

 

Davis

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  46%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  40%

 

Irvine

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  36%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  33%

 

Los Angeles

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  21%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  19%

 

Merced

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  77%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  66%

 

Riverside

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  61%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  54%

 

San Diego

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  38%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  34%
  •  

Santa Barbara

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  43%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  38%

 

Santa Cruz

  • Admitted to enter Fall 2012:  61%
  • Admitted to enter Fall 2013:  52%

 

These increases in applications have implications for students applying to enter a UC in the fall of 2014. Alternative options will include private colleges, community colleges with the intention of transferring, and out-of-state colleges, especially in states with declining in-state applications.